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11/12/2022 0 Comments Utk oit spss code![]() ![]() You only use it on people who are at greater risk of defecting. It can be pretty expensive, such as, ‘We’re going to give you a month for free,’ or, ‘We’re going to give you 20% off your next three orders.’ Whatever it is, it costs money, so you can’t offer it to everybody,” says Siegel.īy creating a model that will determine the probability that a customer will renew a subscription, you “don’t waste the offer on somebody who’s going to stay anyway. “Retention, to be effective, is generally going to incur costs. Eric Siegel, President, Prediction Impact Inc., works with marketers through his firm’s predictive analytics consulting and training programs. Modeling can apply to marketing in lots of ways. You can build a model to automatically score a database of these higher probability customers. Usually, you don’t have to score one customer at a time. You fill in each variable in the equation and then the model calculates and gives higher scores to customers with the greatest probability of visiting your store more times in the next year. The software weighs the importance of each variable and creates a model - think of it as an equation. ![]() ![]() Some software will do both: tell you what it likes and allow a statistician to tweak it. Other packages depend on your judgment to determine which variables matter most. Some types of data mining software will dig through data and tell you. Determine the most important variablesĭetermine which variables are most relevant to your target. For this example, the target is the same as one of the variables - customers who visited the store five times in the past year. Your target is the customers who will visit your store five times in the next year. It’s just getting the data in the one place in the right form to actually start building models,” says Richard Hren, Director Product Marketing, SPSS. “It’s estimated that 70% to 80% of the time devoted to an analytical project is devoted to data preparation. We’ll talk about why and what you can do about it later. Preparing data is the most difficult and complicated step in the process. Here’s a simplified version of what you need to do: A predictor is your model’s central building block.įor example, you want to predict which customers will visit your store at least five times in the next 12 months. You use data-mining software to sift through your customer database.Įvery category of customer information - age or favorite color or buying frequency or how many times a customer visited your store in the past year - is a variable collected as a predictor of future behavior. In this Special Report on predictive analytics, we explain what modeling is, how it can work for you, how it helped one marketer achieve a 172% higher ROI and where you can explore further to see if the tactic is right for you.Ī predictive model determines the probability of a certain outcome based on a target - what you want to predict. O Predict if a customer will make repeat purchases O Predict which customers are mostly likely to defect O Predict which customers are most likely respond to an offer The score predicts that a customer will take a certain action. The process involves applying data-mining technology to your customer data to create a specialized model that gives every customer a probability score. Modeling isn’t 100% exact, but it has helped marketers multiply their ROI. But software innovations are making it easier for marketers to put predictive analytics into play. Modeling has been around for decades - with a reputation for being powerful but complicated to apply. Say hello to predictive modeling - analytics that can help you predict the future as forecast by mountains of your customer data. What if they could help predict the future -like which customers are most likely to buy from you again? 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11/9/2022 0 Comments Maroon 5 animals 10 hours![]() The wild world my favorite books had encouraged me to love has been under assault. ![]() Will we have fewer snowy days going forward, and fewer ducklings to make way for? Over the past five decades, North American skies have lost nearly three billion birds.Īs I paged through Leo Leonni’s “Swimmy,” in which a small black fish travels above an ocean floor colored with life - oceans that are increasingly imperiled - I thought of the marine biologist Sylvia Earle, who, when asked where she would dive if she had her choice of location, replied, “Anywhere, 50 years ago.” Since “Where the Wild Things Are” was published in 1963, the world had lost an estimated two-thirds of its wildlife. Since the oldest of the books, “Babar,” was published in 1931, Africa’s elephant population had dwindled from 10 million to roughly 400,000. Each was now a classic: “Where the Wild Things Are,” “Swimmy,” “The Story of Babar,” “A Snowy Day,” “Make Way for Ducklings.” But all of these books, first published in the early and mid-20th century, come from a time when the world was a different place.Įspecially different was the world of wild things, oceans, winters and even common birds. Through the generosity of family and friends, a modest library of children’s books filled our shelves, including four copies of “The Very Hungry Caterpillar” and three copies of “Goodnight Moon.” Like so many new parents, we couldn’t wait to read to our child.īut on that day nearly three years ago, I held the books that had been my childhood favorites decades before and questioned whether I should share them with her. ![]() Once upon a time, in the room that would be my first child’s nursery, I wondered what to tell her about our vanishing world. ![]() 11/9/2022 0 Comments Aid to katrina music![]() ![]() She has seven siblings: three elder sisters named Stephanie, Christine and Natasha three younger sisters named Melissa, Sonia, and Isabel and an elder brother named Michael. According to the actress, her father, Mohammed Kaif, is a British businessman of Kashmiri descent and her mother (Suzanne, also spelt Susanna) is an English lawyer and charity worker. Katrina Kaif was born in Hong Kong with her mother's surname Turquotte (also spelt Turcotte), on 16 July 1983. 2.4 Fluctuations and current work (2013–present).2.3 New York and widespread recognition (2009–2013).2.2 Breakthrough and rise to prominence (2006–2008).She followed this with a series of films which did not perform well commercially, with the exception of the action sequel Tiger Zinda Hai (2017) and the drama Bharat (2019), but received a nomination for the Filmfare Award for Best Supporting Actress for her portrayal of an alcoholic actress in the romantic drama Zero (2018). Kaif's highest-grossing films came with the action thrillers Ek Tha Tiger (2012), Dhoom 3 (2013), and Bang Bang! (2014), all of which rank among the highest-grossing Indian films. Her performance in the thriller New York (2009) earned her a nomination for the Filmfare Award for Best Actress, and after starring roles in Ajab Prem Ki Ghazab Kahani (2009), Raajneeti (2010), and Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara (2011), she received her second nomination for her performance in Mere Brother Ki Dulhan (2011). She followed with a series of box-office hits, but was criticised for her acting, repetitive roles, and inclination to male-dominated films. After appearing in the Telugu film Malliswari (2004), Kaif earned commercial success in Bollywood with the romantic comedies Maine Pyaar Kyun Kiya? (2005) and Namastey London (2007). While in India, Kaif received modelling assignments and established a successful modelling career, however, filmmakers were hesitant to cast her due to her poor command of Hindi. ![]() At a fashion show in London, Indian filmmaker Kaizad Gustad decided to cast her in Boom (2003), a critical and commercial failure. She received her first modelling assignment as a teenager and later pursued a career as a fashion model. Her accolades include four Filmfare Award nominations.īorn in Hong Kong, Kaif lived in several countries before she moved to London. She was among the highest advance tax paying actresses. Katrina Kaif ( pronounced born Katrina Turquotte 16 July 1983) is a British actress who primarily works in Hindi-language films. ![]() 11/9/2022 0 Comments Treasure island movie![]() ![]() Enter Billy Bones, an alien who crash lands outside the diner and just before gasping his last breath, gives Jim a map leading to the location of the treasure of the infamous Captain Flint. He still yearns for something bigger, better and more dangerous and adventurous. But alas, wind surfing just doesn’t quite cut it for Jim. A pony-tailed earring wearing “spacer”, Jim whoops it up all over the galaxy on his cloud-skimming wind surfer, with all the joy of today’s thrill-seeking youngsters on boogie boards, skateboards and roller blades. In “Treasure Planet”, Jim Hawkins is still a dreamer in search of big adventures – at least bigger than helping his mother wait tables at the Benbow Inn, a waystation in space catering to intergalactic travelers. “Treasure Planet” now takes young Hawkins out of the 19th Century and out of the sea, setting him far in the future and on a distant planet where he still seeks treasure, but this time out gets to meet, greet and blast aliens. ![]() Along the way, they meet up with pirates (Long John Silver, for one), face horrific storms at sea and encounter death and danger at every turn. What is good, though, is Disney’s latest very updated book to movie version of Robert Louis Stevenson’s 19th Century classic “Treasure Island” in the form of “Treasure Planet.” For those that haven’t read the book or seen earlier live action versions on film, “Treasure Island” is the tale of the adventures of young Jim Hawkins when he joins up with a group of adult adventurers who set sail in search of buried treasure. But as of now, only stills remain of the film.Thanks to Walt Disney Pictures, reading may become a thing of the past for children everywhere – and that is not a good thing. No footage of the film has survived as of yet, but, due to it being distributed by Paramount and not MGM unlike London After Midnight, there is a chance it could still survive. "Maurice Tourneur's production of TREASURE ISLAND.falls so far short of its original that any comparison of the two must emphasize its defects.The most vivid acting is done by the dependable Lon Chaney in two roles, first, as the blind Pew, and then as the surly Merry." Maurice Tourneur is a Frenchman and seems incapable of making the most of an Anglo-Saxon subject." "This isn't anywhere near the feature it should be. The film looks to have gotten a very negative reception, with Variety saying: ![]() Jim and his loyal crew members find the treasure, with the help of Ben Gunn, a stranded pirate. Long John Silver and his crew get ahold of the map, but they end up retreating. They get some shelter, but end up fighting. They try to keep the pirates occupied until they get to Treasure Island. Jim discovers his plans and tells Livesey and Trelawny about this plan. However, Silver plans to mutiny on his entire crew. They both create an expedition to find Flint's treasure, and Jim becomes a stowaway on a ship with a crew of people mostly chosen by Long John Silver. However, when another (former) pirate, Billy Bones is killed at the inn by other pirates looking for the map to Flint's treasure, Jim finds it and secretly lends it to two of his mother's friends, Dr. He then helps his (widowed) mother run her inn, the Admiral Benbow Inn. A young Jim Hawkins encounters Long John Silver the pirate while both are searching for Captain Flint's buried treasure. ![]() 11/9/2022 0 Comments What is samsung flow galaxy watch![]() ![]() Interestingly though the standard Samsung Galaxy Watch 4 actually has the edge in one way, as its screen is protected by Gorilla Glass DX+, while the Galaxy Watch 4 Classic makes do with Gorilla Glass DX. The standard Galaxy Watch 4 has a tougher screen (Image credit: TechRadar) Specifically, the smaller version of each watch has a 1.2-inch 396 x 396 circular Super AMOLED display, while the larger models have a 1.4-inch 450 x 450 one. As noted, that extra size seems to be down to the bezel and general design, while the screen itself is actually the same size on both models. You might assume that because the Samsung Galaxy Watch 4 Classic is bigger it also has a bigger screen, but you’d assume wrong. ![]() Both watches can also be had with a wide variety of straps, and both are IP68 certified for water and dust resistance. The Galaxy Watch 4 Classic is also clad in stainless steel rather than aluminum, and it comes in a choice of black or silver shades. This is handy for navigating the watch, and gives it a more classy design, where the standard Galaxy Watch 4 is more sporty and uses a virtual bezel for navigation. ![]() It’s bigger and heavier primarily because it has a rotatable bezel around the edge of the screen. The Samsung Galaxy Watch 4 Classic meanwhile is significantly bigger, coming in at 41.5 x 41.5 x 11.2mm and 47g (excluding the strap) if you pick the 42mm model, or 45.5 x 45.5 x 11.0mm and 52g (again excluding the strap) if you choose a 46mm one. The Samsung Galaxy Watch 4 Classic has a big, rotatable bezel (Image credit: Future) ![]() |
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